June DMC Margin Gains $1.14/cwt to $11.66/cwt

The Dairy Margin Coverage Program margin in June was $11.66/cwt after adding $1.14/cwt over the previous month.

The June all-milk price was $22.80/cwt, up $0.80/cwt from May, and the DMC feed cost dropped by $0.34 for the month, mostly on a lower premium alfalfa price. The DMC margin calculated by USDA has risen $2.06/cwt over the past two months, reaching a level well above the threshold at which payments are generated by falling margins.

Futures-based forecasts at the end of July indicate that the DMC margin will average about $11.90/cwt during 2024, $0.40/cwt higher than similar forecasts indicated a month ago, with a peak in October, a sign that producers may have an opportunity to repair battered balance sheets over the next several months.

Special August Board Meeting Will Assess Proposed CWT Improvements

NMPF’s Board of Directors will hold a special, virtual meeting Aug. 22 to review and potentially a package of changes to the Cooperatives Working Together export assistance program, with the goal of implementing the changes on Jan. 1.

NMPF’s Executive Committee approved July 9 a CWT renewal package initially developed and endorsed by NMPF’s CWT Task Force. The renewal process now requires Board approval, after which individual co-ops will determine their support for the program in its new form.

The Board will reconvene at its Oct. 21 meeting to evaluate the level of support for the program going into 2025.

The package approved by the CWT Task Force and the Executive Committee includes updates in the areas of Product Mix; Bid Process Adjustments; and Market Development. The recommendations include updates to or new resources in the following program areas:

  • All cheese varieties will be eligible for CWT’s price gap support
  • CWT will create targeted pilot programs to address tariff coverage for value-added skim milk powder sales to Southeast Asia, and a target market premium for cheese sales to Central America & the Caribbean
  • CWT will offer fat-equivalent support for the following products: ESL/aseptic fluid milk;  evaporated/condensed milk; and ice cream
  • CWT will increase its operating program bid flexibility to extend eligible delivery periods to 12 months, and remove volume limits on a trial basis
  • CWT staff will provide increased insight on bid acceptance parameters, sharing a short summary with weekly offers explaining shifts in support levels
  • CWT will create an advisory group to provide strategic direction and market development support, with a Phase I emphasis on pre-competitive support that provides opportunities for all cooperatives to participate.


July-to-Date CWT-Assisted Export Sales Top 5.8 Million Pounds

 

 

CWT member cooperatives secured 52 contracts in July with one week still outstanding for the month. These contracts added 5.8 million pounds of product to CWT-assisted sales in 2024. In milk equivalent, equal to 56.8 million pounds of milk on a milkfat basis. These products will go to customers in Asia, Central America, the Caribbean and Oceania and will be shipped from July 2024 through January 2025.

Full-month numbers were not available at the time of publication.

Exporting dairy products is critical to the viability of dairy farmers and their cooperatives across the country. Whether or not a cooperative is actively engaged in exporting cheese, butter, anhydrous milkfat, cream cheese, or whole milk powder, moving products into world markets is essential. CWT provides a means to move domestic dairy products to overseas markets by helping to overcome U.S. dairy’s trade disadvantages.

The amounts of dairy products and related milk volumes reflect current contracts for delivery, not completed export volumes. CWT will pay export assistance to the bidders only when export and delivery of the product is verified by the submission of the required documentation.

House and Senate Ag Spending Measures Advance NMPF Priorities

NMPF backed important legislative provisions in the House and Senate versions of the fiscal year 2025 spending bills for the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the Food and Drug Administration.

The House Appropriations Committee approved its 2025 Agriculture-FDA bill on July 10. The measure includes key language to reverse the reduction in the maximum monthly milk allowance in USDA’s final foods package rule for the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC). WIC helps mothers and young children access essential nutrients they otherwise may lack; NMPF is concerned that the final rule will decrease this access by reducing the allowable milk maximum. NMPF is grateful to Representatives Elise Stefanik, R-NY, and Josh Harder, D-CA, for authoring this provision in the House bill.

Across the Capitol, the Senate Appropriations Committee passed its bill on July 11. The measure includes the Innovative FEED Act to enable FDA to review and approve animal feed ingredients using the agency’s Food Additive Petition pathway. The legislation would allow FDA to review animal feed additives, which are not drugs, in an efficient manner that would preserve animal, human, and environmental safety reviews. Doing so would better position U.S. dairy farmers to reduce enteric methane emissions quickly and proactively and remain globally competitive. NMPF commends Senators Tammy Baldwin, D-WI, and Jerry Moran, R-KS, for obtaining this critical language in the bill.

In addition, both chambers’ bills provide discretionary funding for multiple NMPF-backed programs, including the Farm and Ranch Stress Assistance Network to provide stress assistance and support in rural communities and the Dairy Business Innovation Initiatives that fund direct technical assistance and grants to dairy stakeholders to further the development, production, marketing, and distribution of dairy products.

Republicans and Democrats will need to reach an agreement on overall spending levels for the fiscal year for the provisions of either version to become law. With the clock ticking on the Sept. 30 federal funding deadline, Congress will likely need to pass a short-term continuing resolution to avoid a government shutdown before the November elections.

Sustainability Can Work for U.S. Dairy, With Proper Attention to Profits

The future of U.S. dairy lies in exports, which is taking up an increasing share of U.S. milk production. And as with all markets, pleasing the customer is a key to success; internationally, the perceived sustainability of a product is a key element of customer decision-making.

That can bring peril to dairy farmers, as anti-animal agriculture activists have unfairly made livestock a target worldwide over alleged issues with sustainability. Across the globe, dairy farms that are seen as environmentally unfriendly are being penalized by governments and facing pressure to change practices at the risk of added costs or lost business. Denmark, for example, has made headlines as the first country to tax livestock farmers for greenhouse gases emitted by cows, sheep and pigs.

But for American milk producers, armed with the right tools and appropriate public policy, sustainability can make farmers more money than it may cost them.

Sustainability pressures have been less intense in the United States, in large part because of the dairy industry’s proactive leadership via our industry Net Zero goals, our FARM Program stewardship, and our demonstrable record as a global leader in sustainability. While farmers elsewhere see threats to their production, U.S. farmers can tout their sustainability and increase their global share, showing how U.S. dairy can succeed – in fact, even thrive, in this environment.

But opportunities need to be underpinned by sound policy and solid economics. Because if the economics of sustainability don’t work, then sustainability efforts will fail.

One important step toward making this challenge work occurred in May, when FDA completed its review of the safety and effectiveness data of Bovaer, the first FDA-reviewed feed ingredient with a methane-reduction claim for lactating dairy cattle. This tool has been available to our competitors; FDA’s latest action now puts U.S. dairy on a more competitive playing field with its global counterparts.

After years of NMPF and industry advocacy, Bovaer will now be available to American dairy producers. That win creates opportunities: Implementing feed ingredient or feed additive interventions creates the potential to sell carbon credits or carbon reductions in carbon markets. It also paves the way for USDA conservation program support. NMPF member cooperatives and their industry partners were grateful that USDA awarded $89 million last year under the Regional Conservation Partnership Program to support farms in using Bovaer to reduce their methane emissions. Dairy hopes for more RCPP resources this year to boost farmer uptake nationwide.

Elanco, Bovaer’s manufacturer, estimates that use of its product has the potential to create an annual return of $20 or more per lactating cow, which would make the feed additive not only beneficial for the environment, but also for farmer profitability, not counting potential feed efficiency that can boost margins.

But obviously, one development alone isn’t the end-all toward making sustainability profitable. NMPF is also supporting passage of the Innovative FEED Act, a bipartisan measure introduced in both chambers of Congress that directs FDA to review enteric-reducing and other products using its Food Additive Petition process. Supporting IFEED would boost the economic sustainability of dairy producers by allowing more innovative products into the marketplace faster. NMPF has long advocated for faster review and approval of animal feed ingredients that can reduce enteric methane emissions.

NMPF is also advocating for passage of the bipartisan, bicameral EMIT LESS Act to help get these important feed additives into the hands of farmers quickly. This measure would better target popular voluntary conservation programs like the Environmental Quality Incentives Program and the Conservation Stewardship Program toward farmer adoption of enteric emission-reducing products like Bovaer. As environmental markets continue to develop, this targeted support will be vital to helping farmers who choose to adopt these products in a financially viable and successful manner.

Regardless of the momentary political winds, sustainability is unlikely to subside as a political or marketplace concern. But American dairy producers can benefit, especially as competitors find themselves under even greater pressures and U.S. dairy farmers stand ready to meet global demand.

Exciting opportunities to create a more sustainable and profitable future for the dairy sector are emerging. With smart decisions and a farmer-focused approach, U.S. dairy can be the global leader, nourishing the world and boosting farmer fortunes at home.


Gregg Doud

President & CEO, NMPF

 

Economists Find Much to Like in USDA Pricing Plan

USDA’s plan for modernizing the Federal Milk Marketing Order system aligns well with the principles outlined in NMPF’s own proposals, NMPF economists Peter Vitaliano and Stephen Cain said in a Dairy Defined Podcast released today. Still, analysis is ongoing, and NMPF will be suggesting improvements during a public comment period that lasts through mid-September.

“It’s important that we have a national system that helps level the playing field across the country,” said Cain, NMPF’s senior director for economic research and analysis. “We do not want regulation to create winners and losers or incentivize actions that distort the marketplace or market dynamics in any way.

More on NMPF’s federal order efforts can be found on nmpf.org. You can find and subscribe to the Dairy Defined podcast on Apple Podcasts and Spotify under the podcast name “Dairy Defined.”

Media outlets may use clips from the podcast on the condition of attribution to the National Milk Producers Federation.


Dairy Data Delights, and Completes Your Summer Reading List

Impress your friends and dazzle your pub trivia team: Did you know that the average American worker only needs to work half as long to pay for a half gallon of ice cream as in 1960? Can you say, luxurious and affordable?

It’s in the numbers. Despite hourly wages that averaged $2.09 an hour the year John F. Kennedy was elected president (and both Joe Biden and Donald Trump were teenagers), the relative changes in wages and ice cream prices have made America’s favorite frozen dessert (Happy National Ice Cream Month) twice as affordable now, according to Labor Department data. What once took nearly 25 minutes of a U.S. worker’s hourly wage to buy takes less than 12 minutes now.



Butter holds a similar ratio, and whole milk and cheese affordability has also improved significantly. And still, some people long for the good old days.

You can find this information on page 85 of Dairy Data Highlights, a compendium of historical dairy statistics compiled by the NMPF/USDEC Dairy Economics Unit. The publication features facts on the evolution of farm sizes, milk production and dairy revenues, and the emphatic growth in the prominence of trade to the U.S. dairy economy. (Commercial dairy exports, 1985: 571 million pounds of milk equivalent. Commercial dairy exports, 2022: 40,581 million pounds.)

Suffice it to say, Dairy Data Highlights makes everyone’s summer beach reading list complete. And unlike current best sellers like “The Women,” or “On Call,” Dairy Data highlights is free – just download here.

That’s why the entire dairy community needs to know of this resource. See the rise in average herd sizes! Be wowed by the growth of processed gruyere exports! But mainly, know that this is out there. And use it as you need.

2024 National Dairy Leadership Scholarship Program Winners Awarded

The NMPF Board of Directors selected five graduate students actively pursuing dairy related fields of research that benefit dairy cooperatives and producers to receive scholarships as part of the 2024 NMPF National Dairy Leadership Scholarship Program. Winners were announced June 4, at NMPF’s Board of Directors meeting in Arlington, VA.

Winners include:

Augustin Olivo, a doctoral candidate in Animal Science at Cornell University, where he is a part of the Nutrient Management Spear Program (NMSP). Olivo’s research and extension work focus is on evaluating and disseminating system analysis tools and performance indicators that support efforts to improve environmental sustainability in dairy systems for New York producers.

Megan Lauber is pursuing her doctorate at University of Wisconsin-Madison, where she received her Master’s in Dairy Science under the advisement of Dr. Paul Fricke. Her dissertation focuses on integrating basic physiology, management practices and economics to optimize the use of sexed semen in dairy herds.

Grant Finchman is a Master of Science candidate in Ruminant Nutrition at University of Nebraska- Lincoln. His research involves the impact of feeding dried distiller grains with solubles to lactating dairy cattle, looking at whole animal energy utilization and manure biogas production.

Ana Beatriz Montevecchio Bernardino is a second-year doctoral student in the Department of Large Animal Clinical Sciences at the University of Florida. Her research focuses on heat abatement strategies in dairy calves, udder health and pharmaceutical development. More specifically, her current research investigates the effect of a novel non-steroidal anti-inflammatory formulation on welfare of Holstein cows challenged with E. coli.

Lynn Olthof is a doctoral candidate under Dr. Barry Bradford studying dairy management at Michigan State University. Her research studies the economic implications of dairy farm management decisions.

NMPF’s Board of Directors offers scholarships each year to qualified graduate students enrolled in master’s or doctoral programs who are actively pursuing dairy-related fields of research that are of immediate interest to NMPF member cooperatives.

The scholarship program meaningfully assists graduate students and promotes research that benefits the entire dairy community. Donate today to support the National Leadership Scholarship Program.

FARM Highlights NMPF Outreach in June

NMPF outreach to the dairy community was highlighted by the FARM team in June, as staff shared expertise across the industry.

FARM’s senior director of animal care, Beverly Hampton Phifer, presented Managing an Animal Care Crisis June 5 at the Dairy Welfare Symposium in Kansas City, MO. Dr. Valerie Smith, with Food Safety Net Services, and Hampton Phifer co-presented the efforts of FARM and implementation of the Animal Care Concern Protocol.

Emily Yeiser Stepp, FARM’s executive director, attended the American Dairy Science Association conference June 16-19 in West Palm Beach, FL. Yeiser Stepp presented with Chase DeCoite, Vice President of Food Industry Relations for Dairy Management, Inc., on June 18.  The pair’s presentation, Demonstrating U.S. Dairy’s Commitment to Animal Care, discussed how FARM supports continuous improvement on all U.S. dairy farms and understanding the supply chain’s interest in animal care.

Nicole Ayache, Chief Sustainability Officer at NMPF, discussed FARM’s Environmental Stewardship Version 3 upcoming launch at the Innovation Center for US Dairy Board of Directors meeting on June 27. The Version 3 update is two years in the making, surrounding a new evaluation tool, the Ruminant Farms Systems model (RuFaS), which will support dairy industry efforts to reach GHG neutral by 2050 as well as to respond to growing customer requests.

Other staff highlights included Will Loux, NMPF’s senior vice president for global economic affairs, speaking on the state of the dairy industry to Dairy Management Inc. officers and the Innovation Center in Rosemont, IL, giving an overview of long-term trends of the industry in production, supply and demand.

NMPF Grows Latin American Network

Strengthening its trade and dairy priorities in Latin America, NMPF and USDEC signed a June 4 memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the Colombian Association of Dairy Industry (Asoleche).

The agreement details objectives that the U.S. and Colombian industries will undertake to improve knowledge sharing and eliminate trade barriers between the two countries. The MOU complements similar agreements USDEC and NMPF have made throughout Latin America, including with Sociedad Rural Argentina, the Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture (IICA) and the Chilean Federacion Nacional de Productores de Leche (Fedeleche).

Gregg Doud, president and CEO of NMPF, said, “The U.S. and Colombian dairy industries share many of the same values and priorities. We’re excited to work alongside Asoleche to promote positive, sound policies that build a stronger dairy industry in the Americas and internationally.”

NMPF Supports Indonesia School Milk Pledge as Market Share Grows

NMPF Executive Vice President of Trade Policy and Global Affairs Shawna Morris joined U.S. Dairy Export Council (USDEC) staff in Indonesia from June 18-21 to advance the U.S.-Indonesia Technical Collaboration Project on Dairy and encourage steps to increase dairy trade in what is becoming an increasingly important market.

The trip took place as the country prepares to fulfill a new pledge from incoming president Prabowo Subianto to provide free milk to Indonesian schoolchildren as part of a new school meals program Indonesia plans to launch. Indonesia, meanwhile, is a rising consumer of U.S. dairy, with exports rising 28 percent over the past five years to becoming the second biggest customer in the Southeast Asia region.

A joint effort to provide forward-looking technical and educational support for local dairy producers, the U.S.-Indonesia Technical Collaboration Project on Dairy was spurred by a 2023 National Association of State Departments of Agriculture (NASDA) trade mission to Indonesia which USDEC President and CEO Krysta Harden joined.

NMPF and USDEC are working with NASDA, the Wisconsin Agriculture Department, New Mexico Department of Agriculture, and New Mexico State University to develop technical education modules that provide to Indonesian small-scale dairy farmers guidance and best practices for achieving sustainable, healthy, and higher-yield dairy production.

NMPF and USDEC staff met with a host of local industry and government leaders, discussing the progress in launching the joint capacity building project as well as the importance of addressing Indonesia’s tariff and non-tariff barriers to unlock complementary U.S. dairy exports that can fully meet the country’s expected higher level of dairy demand.

NMPF Works to Fortify the Export Supply Chain

NMPF is offering its support and assistance for a pair of supply chain bills offered in June that address shipping container break-ins that are damaging dairy shipments.

Organized crime groups are indiscriminately breaking into intermodal containers traveling on rail from the Midwest to West Coast ports searching for high-value products, with dairy shipments frequently suffering collateral damage. The break-ins have created significant food safety and quality concerns, as well as financial costs for shippers who have no recourse to insurance claims.

Working with a coalition of industry stakeholders, NMPF helped secure $2 million within the FY25 House Homeland Security Appropriations bill dedicated to tackling the break-ins. NMPF also coordinated with and supported the June 25 introduction of the Safeguarding our Supply Chains Act. Led by Representative David Valadao, R-CA, and Brad Schneider, D-IL, the bill would authorize $100 million for fiscal years 2025-2029 to create a crime coordination center within Homeland Security Investigations and an interagency taskforce. The division would serve as a central command for shippers to report break-ins, providing direction to the agency on hot spots to target policing efforts.