DMC Margin Drops $1.13/cwt in April, Mostly on Lower Milk Price

The monthly DMC margin fell $1.13 cwt in April to $10.42/cwt of milk on a lower all-milk price.

The DMC feed cost calculation rose $0.13/cwt of milk from March to April, mostly on a higher premium alfalfa hay price, as smaller corn and soybean meal price changes were nearly offsetting on a milk equivalent basis. The all-milk price was down $1/cwt to $21/cwt.

The DMC Decision Tool on the USDA Farm Service Agency website projects the April margin as the lowest for 2025. It shows monthly margins rising steadily from there to top out at $13.92/cwt in November.

DMC Margin Loses $1.57/cwt in March, Mostly on Lower Milk Price

The monthly Dairy Margin Program margin fell $1.57/cwt to $11.55/cwt in March as the U.S. average all-milk price fell $1.60/cwt to $22/cwt, more than outstripping a small decline in feed costs.

The DMC Decision Tool on the USDA Farm Service Agency website has long projected the monthly margin would reach a bottom for 2025 this spring, but the March downward move outpaced its projections. On the last day of April, the Tool showed the correct milk, corn and soybean meal prices for March, but anticipated a much lower premium alfalfa hay price and showed a projected March margin of $12.29/cwt.  At that time, it also projected the margin would reach a 2025 low of $11.05/cwt in June before rising again.

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DMC Margin Loses $0.73/cwt in March, on Lower Milk Price and Higher Feed Cost

The Dairy Margin Coverage margin fell $0.73/cwt to $13.12/cwt for March as milk prices fell and feed costs rose.

The U.S. average all-milk price lost $0.50/cwt in February, falling to $23.60/cwt, while higher feed costs covered the rest of the margin loss. The DMC Decision Tool on the USDA Farm Service Agency website at the end of March projected the monthly margin would average $12.51/cwt during 2025, with a low of $11.10/cwt in May. Such a performance would result in no DMC payouts for farmers this year.

Milk Price Gain Raises January DMC Margin

Following three months of falling from record highs, the Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) program margin rose in January as milk prices increased more than feed costs.

The January U.S. average all-milk price rose by $0.80/cwt from the month before to $24.10/cwt, while the DMC January feed cost formula increased by $0.33/cwt of milk on higher prices for all three of its feed components. That moved the DMC margin up by $0.47/cwt of milk for the month.

The DMC Decision Tool on the USDA Farm Service Agency website at the end of February projected the monthly margin would average $12.37/cwt during 2025, with a low of $11.41/cwt in late spring. 2025 DMC program enrollment is now open and is scheduled to close March 31.

DMC Margin Drops Again – to Third Highest Ever

The monthly margin under the Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) program lost $0.88/cwt from a month before, yet, at $14.29/cwt, still came in as the third highest since margin protection became the basic safety net program for dairy in 2015.

The November U.S. average all-milk price dropped by $1/cwt from October to $24.20/cwt, while the DMC feed cost formula declined by $0.12/cwt. A lower soybean meal price more than offset a higher corn price; the premium alfalfa hay price was little changed.

The end of December dairy and grain futures indicated that the DMC margin would average around $12.50/cwt for all of calendar year 2025, which would be $0.60/cwt higher than the 2024 annual average and well above the trigger under which payments begin.